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The Saker
A bird's eye view of the vineyard

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Dear friends As I have previously announced, we are now “freezing” the blog.  We are also making archives of the blog available for free download in various formats (see below). 

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Lockdown Skeptics

The Daily Sceptic

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The post Catching Covid Does Not Lower Your IQ appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

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The post The BBC Has ?Fact-Checked? Labour?s Claim that Renewables are Cheaper than Fossil Fuels and Declared it to be True. But it?s False appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

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World Social Forum 2005: An Irish Eyewitness Report

category international | rights, freedoms and repression | feature author Friday February 11, 2005 18:05author by Rory Hearne - Irish Anti War Movement / SWPauthor email hearner at yahoo dot co dot uk Report this post to the editors

The Movement Deepens - Mere Gestures on Poverty from Bush, Blair and Lula Will Not Suffice

The fifth World Social Forum (WSF) which took place last week in Porto Alegre, Brazil was a vital event for all those who are concerned with the state of the World. The WSF showed clearly that five years on from the Seattle protests, the ‘alter-globalisation’ movement continues to grow in strength and importance. 120,000 registered for the forum, almost 200,000 took part in the opening march and 352 proposals and calls for action came out of the more than 2000 panels and workshops that took place.

The fifth WSF was an inspirational event. In this piece I write about three important issues that capture that inspiration and also address the question of where do the movements go from here? They are firstly, the important diversity and strength of the movement shown in the opening demonstration, the call that came from the final assembly for global action on March 19th against the occupation of Iraq and finally, the debate over the future direction and strategy of the WSF movement.

Diversity and Strength of the Movement- Lets Keep it Growing

The opening demonstration was a clear manifestation of the important diversity and strength of the movement. Almost 200,000 people took part in the march. It was a sea of colour and noise, united in chanting ‘um otro mundo e possivel’ (another world is possible!). There were gay and lesbian groups, trade unions and workers such as the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions and the World Trade Union Forum with its banner ‘workers unite in solidarity for a fair world’. Also there, were Christian peace groups, indigenous peoples from Latin America and Asia (most visible were the Dalits from India), NGOs like Action Aid, student groups, anti-war movements, African movements against the debt and women’s organisations. The popular support amongst Brazilians for the forum was visible from the banners they hung from their windows and bridges and, beautifully, an old couple who leaned out of their apartment window banging pots and pans in solidarity with the marchers below.

It is vital that everyone continues to build this movement as diverse and united as possible so that we can continue and strengthen the global offensive against neo-liberalism. There will be many opportunities in the near future to do this here in Ireland and abroad. Examples include the mobilisations on March 19th, the mobilisation against Bush and the G8 Summit in Scotland in July (see http://www.g8alternatives.org.uk) and opposing the EU Constitutional referendum. Internationally, the movement will also be mobilising for the Summit of the American Governments in November in Argentina and against the meeting of the WTO in Hong Kong in December.

March 19th- Global Day of Action-Troops Out Now-No More Wars

Secondly, the final assembly of the social movements which involved campaigners and activists from all five continents made a call for the “people in every country to mobilise for a global day of action against war on March 19th demanding troops out of Iraq now and no more wars”(see http://www.focusweb.org for details of the call). Over 30 countries are already committed to participating, including Iraq, Palestine, Argentina, Brazil, India, US (400 cities), Italy, Ireland, Japan, Philippines, Australia, Sri Lanka, Hungary, Poland, Venezuela and many more.

A similar call was made in January 2003 for global action on February 15th 2003 which resulted in a historic day where over 40 million marched against war. Medea Benjamin, (Global Exchange and United for Peace and Justice) from the USA said at the assembly, “a country like the US that sends its young people particularly the poor and immigrants to fight a war based on lies is decaying from within. A country spending €270 million a day on a war in Iraq when we are closing our schools and hospitals at home is decaying from within. We are working together to have the empire decay from within and from resistance outside. On March 19th the organisation I represent United for Peace and Justice with over 1000 organisations as part of it – will get 1 million people on the streets in over 500 US cities to protest against the occupation of Iraq, Palestine and empire.”

Here in Ireland the Irish Anti-War Movement is encouraging everyone to march in Dublin and Belfast on March 19th against the occupation of Iraq and Palestine and for and end to US military landing at Shannon airport (see www.irishantiwar.org).

Which way now for the Movement

Finally, there was a clear difference of perspectives over the future direction of the movement. Some organisers of the WSF such as Bernard Cassan (Campaign for the Tobin Tax, France) and prominent NGOs want the movement to focus on pressurising government leaders like Bush, Blair and Lula (President of Brazil) into signing the Global Call to Action against Poverty (GCAP). They want to avoid the movement focussing on the war and uniting the struggles together, whether in opposition to Lula’s reforms or to capitalism itself. They organised the forum according to the principle of horizontal self-organised zones. This meant that the venues were some distance apart geographically and each one discussed only one individual theme over the entire week. This limited the possibilities of campaigners against poverty, the environment and indigenous movements uniting with, for example anti-war and anti-capitalists into common struggles and critiques. There were only two large rallies where such unity of purpose could have been forged. Both, however, were the very tightly organised and controlled rallies of the political leaders Lula and Chavez. Interestingly WSF principles state that political parties and representatives are not supposed to be given official representation at the forum. Chris Nineham and Alex Callincos from the UK wrote about this after the fifth WSF;

“The famous 'Porto Alegre Charter' - the Charter of Principles of the World Social Forum - bans 'party representations' from participating and forbids social forums to take decisions. The prominence of the parties of the radical left at the European Social Forums in Florence and London was strongly criticized for violating the Charter. How then to justify the fact that, on the day the WSF proper began, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva addressed what was notionally a seminar, but was really a mass rally of the ruling Workers Party (PT), within the WSF? Lula is not only leader of the PT, but President of the Republic of Brazil. His participation in the Forum doesn’t seem very 'horizontal'. In our view it was a mistake to impose a ban on parties, since political organizations are inextricably intermingled with social movements and articulate different strategies and visions that are a legitimate contribution to the debates that take place in the social forums. In fact, the Porto Alegre Charter has always been circumvented, but the Lula rally has made the resulting hypocrisy absolutely flagrant. It would surely be more honest to amend or scrap this tattered ban”.

Indeed some of the leading intellectuals and organisers of the WSF broke the consensus, horizontal, open space model of the WSF and issued a statement on democracy, debt and the Tobin tax that appeared to be on behalf of the forum.

A Deepening Radicalisation Cannot be Avoided

However, this attempt to channel the movement towards simply pressurising heads of government did not dampen the increasing radicalisation at the base of the movement. Considerable work by anti-war activists from the UK, Greece, the Philippines and the USA meant that the main call from the assembly of the social movements was the call for the global day of action on March 19th against the US occupation of Iraq. When one talked to many participants at the forum and observed the opening demonstration and the meeting of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, it was clear that those at the base of the movement felt that gestures from government leaders will not be enough to end poverty. They said that in order to end poverty, it is necessary for the masses of people and workers to struggle themselves, rather than relying on heads of state, to end war, neo-liberalism and ultimately replace capitalism. They talked about their disillusionment with Lula’s unfulfilled promises of action on poverty and hunger and asked how could Bush and Blair, responsible for the murder of over 100,000 innocent people in Iraq be serious about ending poverty?

This sentiment was visible throughout the forum, among the 200,000 people took part in the opening demonstration and the 25,000 who filled the youth camp. It was visible in the contributions from the MST (the landless peasants and workers movement of Brazil), in the spontaneous demonstrations against the war and the occupation of Palestine; in the meetings where thousands, young and old, sat and stood in 40 degree heat to debate and discuss poverty, power and revolution and, in the tens of thousands who queued for hours to hear Brazilian President Lula, and Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez speak.

Lula and Chavez –Two Different Worlds

Thousands of Lula’s Workers’ Party (PT) faithful were bussed in to the Gigantinho Stadium before he spoke. The gates were closed when the stadium was only three-quarters full but thousands more still queued outside. Chants of ‘ole, ole, ole, ole, Lula, Lula’ rang around the stadium but were not unanimously supported and 200 or so activists booed Lula’s entire speech. Lula was defensive and he condescendingly turned to those booing and said ‘you are immature, and will grow up and then we will be waiting for you to come back to us” There is growing disillusionment with Lula’s PT government. It has broken promises made before its election just over two years ago, signing an agreement with the IMF, attacking pension rights and backing the employers in a bitter strike of bank workers. A number of deputies expelled from the PT have formed a new party: P-SOL, that was very visible throughout the WSF. Despite all this it was obvious that Lula still commands huge respect and support from the workers and poor of Brazil.

Chavez, Chavez

However, it was at the meeting of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez that the grass roots anti-capitalist sentiment was most visible. 20,000 people, predominantly young packed the stadium (which should put lie to those who describe all young people today as ‘apathetic youth’). Their radical and anti-imperialist chants rang around the stadium before he arrived. They sang; ‘ole, ole, ole, ole, Chavez, Chavez’; and in reference to Lula’s recent education and workers legislation reforms: “1,2,3,4,5..1000..Stop the reforms or we will shut down Brazil”. A large section of the audience chanted, “Lula nao, Chavez si” (Lula no, Chavez yes), to booing from some other sections, showing that you can criticise his reforms but not Lula himself.

A Break with Neo-Liberal Capitalism

They demanded not mere reforms but a break with neo-liberal capitalism. The 20,000 voices joined in unison singing the Internationale. Hugo Chavez’s speech was much more left-wing than Lula’s, even though he said that each country in Latin America had to proceed according to its own conditions. He also showed a worrying attitude towards some other regimes, saying: ‘there is a good president in Russia, Mr. Putin’, and when he uncritically praised China's fast economic growth.

This aside, Chavez is undoubtedly the Latin American leader most in touch with the new movements of resistance against neo-liberalism and imperialism in Latin America.. He said in his speech “We must reclaim socialism as a thesis, a project and a path, but a new type of socialism, a humanist one which puts humans, and not machines or the state ahead of everything. That’s the debate we must promote around the world.”

His aim is to use a block of poorer governments as a lever against US power. He wants to build up unions and civil society to support his reforms in Venezuela. These reforms have, however, been very ‘top-down’ in their approach. While Chavez’ anti-imperialist stance and social reforms should be supported, the growth of independent movements of the poor and workers is necessary so that when Chavez or other leaders bow to neo-liberal pressure or when US imperialism intervenes, there is an organised force of workers to resist and build a new world from the bottom up.

Conclusion

The World Social Forum continues to be an inspiration for all those struggling against neo-liberalism and imperialism around the world. It is a vital space for the movements to come together and show our strength, forge common actions, learn from practical experiences and discuss strategy and the politics of hope and resistance. We must therefore continue to build and support social forums around the world like the WSF and ESF.

There are clearly divergent views over the future strategy for the movement. These are vital debates that need to be discussed openly.

Our common enemies imperialism and neo-liberalism have lost all legitimacy. They have the lost the battle for the hearts and minds of the worlds population. The World Bank, the IMF and the WTO are failures. But they are far from defeated. We should support and build the common actions like the G8 mobilisation in Scotland called by the Global Call for Action against Poverty. But we should not simply ask the global leaders to wear white ribbons and make nicely worded statements on poverty. Many of those who organised the WSF clearly want our movement to focus its energy on such calls that quite explicitly support social liberal governments like Lula and Blair. But these leaders have shown through their actions in Iraq or through the Lula government sending troops to Haiti that any kind words uttered are only a diversion from the reality.

These leaders are liars, mass murderers and serve only the interests of the rich and powerful. Those at the base of the movements see this clearly and are clamouring for much more than words. As a representative from the MST (movement of workers and peasants without land) said to me: “We are in opposition to the current government of president Lula because they are implementing anti-worker policies, they have not met their promises from before the elections. Our struggle by workers and peasants is a fight not just against the Brazilian economic system but against capitalism which is the source of our problems.”


By Rory Hearne

Delegate from the Irish Anti War Movement to the recent World Social Forum. He is also deputy president of USI (Union of Students in Ireland) and member of the Socialist Workers Party. Views expressed are his own. A documentary of the Forum is being made and I will be available to introduce it at public events etc.

Contact: hearner@yahoo.co.uk

Extensive Archive of IndyBay Coverage of the 2005 WSF Here

author by :-)publication date Wed Feb 09, 2005 16:02author address author phone Report this post to the editors

I look forward to this year's St Joseph's day anti war rallies. I think it is important to remember that the presence of international peacekeeping and narcotrafficking opposing military in Haiti is an important part of moving to an alternative world of peace and justice, and therefore the presence of Brazilian and Spanish armed forces in Haiti can not be criticised too harshly. The exact record of daily events in the Haiti crises from the beginning of the end of Aristide to the commitment of Guardia Civil by Spain is in the archive here (use the seach engine it was called Haiti for beginners).

There are many who who are pro-Chavez within the spanish speaking world and beyond, especially those of the "radical left", we have had many good things to say for him and have supported him through strikes, attempted coup d'etats et cetera.

There are increasingly many who don't seem to understand why there is also continued support for the "at first glance much less radical" Lula. His style is very different, his grasp on the popular mandate is not supported by weekly TV shows, he is not admittedly on the "radical-radical" wing, but his country is larger, the resources he is "free-ing" have been subject to inteference from outside Brazil and within Brazil. Lula is and has been fighting huge personal and political odds, enemies who are to be found within Brazil as much as outside. Therefore he counts on a wider basis of "liberal" support, I can't say to you "don't criticise him", but I would ask you consider more in what ways he has suceeded and how well paved the future of Brazil is. Lula can not at present use any global leverage in Oil or Gas production as Chavez can. Lula is due to "realpolitic" (of international legal obligations and ownership) reliant on those nations who buy Brazilian produce and invest in Brazilian development. This is why the current government of Spain has chosen to lead its South American strategy of ending poverty through Brazil. Working with Lula to end debt as has been done with Argentina, but in a way which can not (because of language or history) be seen as "neo-imperialist". We are about changing the world, all of us, for the better, and in so doing we are supporting multi-polar associations and "alliances of civilised states". And that means moving all states as they are forward at different rates.
Never stop criticising Lula never stop calling for genuine liberation of campesino's at their level, but please don't make the mistake of thinking that Brazil could find itself "led by a Chavez" because honestly it can't, and any attempt to do so would return Brazil to the very dark and "secret" hell it has just emerged from. In short Lula faces opponents who are much more serious than Chavez and are "your opponents too". Try and realise that.

& I hope you put your documentary online.

author by Davy Carlinpublication date Wed Feb 09, 2005 17:52author address author phone Report this post to the editors

Good report Rory

author by Anti-Fascistpublication date Wed Feb 09, 2005 19:30author address author phone Report this post to the editors

World Social Forum participants call for worldwide boycott of U.S. corporations:

http://www.motherearth.org/USboycott/news04_en.php#wsf05a

author by Dpublication date Fri Feb 11, 2005 18:10author address author phone Report this post to the editors

Good to see it made the feature - as stated a very good report by Rory - More of it!

author by carlpublication date Sat Feb 12, 2005 00:41author address author phone Report this post to the editors

seems like you guys are hellbent to force your world on the rest of us. sounds like we got another version of communism heading our way masked in the enviro/poverty lobby. hope you fail. but i fear you will continue. the idea that people cheered chavez just shows how insane you are. chavez... please....

author by Solana - openDemocracypublication date Sat Feb 12, 2005 17:32author address author phone Report this post to the editors

You wrote: "Indeed some of the leading intellectuals and organisers of the WSF broke the consensus, horizontal, open space model of the WSF and issued a statement on democracy, debt and the Tobin tax that appeared to be on behalf of the forum."

We've translated the text to English if you want to read what it says: http://opendemocracy.typepad.com/wsf/2005/02/previous_posts_.html

author by Daniel Zerkmanpublication date Sun Feb 13, 2005 02:20author address author phone Report this post to the editors

Hugo Chavez and The Theft and Tricks of the USA Narrow Leftists

US Enviros have killed the environmental movement and the Narrow Left strategies of single issue campaigning have failed.


2. There is no way to avoid the catastrophe of global warming because the capitalist model of consumption growth and rampant pollution to reduce costs combines with US greed to guarantee massive increases in greenhouse gases. ... To survive in this post-global warming future of brutal US imperialist wars, the few remaining moral people in the US and Europe should fund revolutions in the Andes to create an alternative model and a counter to US hegemony.

Pollution is Trade - Make Sense Anyone Out there


The only balance you are likely to get on the subject

of change in the US -



or the only response from anything like a Left view -

see other hot works at :



Part I: (revised)
I suggest those actually interested in doing something beyond talking or cheerleading review these posts:



The Andes to the Rescue of the World -

http://mer130.tripod.com/index.blog?entry_id=606875



Tsunamis of Environmentalism’s Death:

The Theft and Tricks of the USA Narrow Leftists


POSTED AT: http://zorpia.com/cgi/journal.cgi?journal_id=0001037702

author by iosafpublication date Mon Feb 14, 2005 13:20author address author phone Report this post to the editors

The meeting being held in Venezuala is being presented as a deepening of the alliance between the two South American leaders and further integration of their economic domestic and american policies.

This afternoon they will make a joint declaration.

The focus of the accords are-
energy (the exportation of petrol and gas), mining, agriculture, fisheries, finance and businesses, and defence co-operation (Chavez has ordered fighter jets rom Brazil and rescinded an earlier order for F16 jets from the USA and described the co-operation with Brazil as a strategic alliance), medicine, culture and technology.

http://deportes.eluniversal.com/2005/02/14/pol_ava_14A532345.shtml.
http://www.laprensagrafica.com/economia/123893.asp

The leaders of the South American Left Alliance
The leaders of the South American Left Alliance

author by european death ray press centrepublication date Tue Feb 15, 2005 18:09author address author phone Report this post to the editors

yesterday signed over 20 common accords treating on mutual development on all fronts and defence.
Over 130 common commercial entities will copperfasten the comitment to common and sustainable development and in one key phrase of their joint declaration "end our eyes looking north"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4266089.stm
http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=25742
http://www.infobae.com/notas/nota.php?Idx=167056&IdxSeccion=100555
http://www.rosarionet.com.ar/rnet/internacionales/notas.vsp?nid=18768

They then asked to borrow the European Death Ray and succesfully deflected an asteroid which had previously been on a collision course with the planet earth. (this is top secret) the asteroid will now narrowly miss planet earth on the Friday the 13th April 2028 (make a note).
http://www.megastar.co.uk/world/news/2005/02/15/sMEG01MTEwODQ2OTMzOTc.html
Neither NASA nor Hollywood have so far commented but special pentagon advisor Captain Bruce Willis has expressed his thanks to the Chavez / Lula team and in interest in starting a capoiera course.

Mr Lula has now returned to Brazil on board his european built and maintained aircraft Lula 1.
He is reported to be filling in neighbouring Mr Kirchner of Argentina on the "don't look northwards thing". Mr Kirchner is to the right of Mr Lula as any young leftie will let you know.

Mr Chavez has this afternoon met with Mr Uribe.

http://www.univision.com/contentroot/wirefeeds/world/1749661.html
http://www.plenglish.com/article.asp?ID=%7B159933A6-5F97-4BB5-AD08-5E01C74922E9%7D&language=EN
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2005-02/15/content_2579445.htm

Mr Uribe the president of Columbia is to the right of South America. Mr Uribe you will remember ( if you're a keen reader of the other press section see top left corner of your screen) was unable to meet Mr Chavez last week, or Mr ZP of Spain or Mr Chirac of France coz he had labyrinthyitis an ear condition caused by bacteria. He has recovered now and flew to Caracas where he's holding long awaited bilateral talks with Chavez about the common interests of their peoples in dodgy land in the frontiers where Columbia and Venezuala, Peru and Brazil seem to meet.

Mr Uribe has reportedly asked (this is top secret) that the European Death Ray be located in an isolated plot of jungle in that part of the world, along with a decent poison orchid launch system and a supply of good looking girlies and boys who like being called "bitch". Mr Chavez (this is top secret) has told him to fuck right off and stop looking north.

***************************************************

On the serious side, both Uribe and Chavez have witnessed serious flooding in the region in the last 24hours, which have caused the deaths of both Venezualans and Columbians without regard for politics coz thats how mother nature works.

http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/RWB.NSF/db900SID/VBOL-69MEPS?OpenDocument

author by -publication date Tue Feb 15, 2005 23:56author address author phone Report this post to the editors

Unfortuanately those who profited from recent left criticism of Lula's policies were the small progressive democrat party who are a member of the coalition. Severino Cavalcanti who served in Brazil's 1964-85 dictatorship, now wields great power in setting legislative priorities and is third in line to the presidency in Brazil.
It is felt that the proposed legislation such as giving independence to the central bank, completing reforms of the tax and legal systems and streamlining regulatory agencies are now threatened. Cavalcanti will wish to raise politicians salaries. He was elected by the congress with 300 votes defeating the Lula candidate Luiz Eduardo Greenhalgh with 195. The Sao Paulo stock market twittered losing 1% but regained confidence. The poor of Brazil chilled to death when the middle class bought up all the candles and the well paid politicians had their own electric generators just a few years ago but they did feel confident.
There will be now be yet more "horse-trading" within the Brazilian political machinery between those forces of the right who are opposed to the neccesary reforms, and those of Lula's supporters who aren't acheiving them quickly enough for many delegates and people who can't remember 1984.
http://www.swissinfo.org/sen/swissinfo.html?siteSect=143&sid=5540584
Maybe this is a good thing. I must admit I find it quite difficult to forget. Julia was quite an impressive character. & I sort of liked the way the tobacco fell out of Winston's cigarette at 13 o clock.

author by eeekkkpublication date Fri Feb 25, 2005 22:06author address author phone Report this post to the editors

interesting compare and contrast with rory h article

Related Link: http://info.interactivist.net/article.pl?sid=05/02/23/1529229&mode=nested&tid=12
author by karl roenfanz ( rosey )publication date Fri Mar 04, 2005 07:27author email k_rosey48 at hotmail dot comauthor address 1306 john evansville ind 47714author phone ( 812 ) 422-7765Report this post to the editors

the federalgovernment by corporation wants to keep the majority of the population under poverty, they need the cannon fodder to be able to get into war and rob other countries rescorces. can't do that if the people have enough food to stay happy.

author by @ € % $ .:. * +publication date Wed Mar 30, 2005 22:13author address author phone Report this post to the editors

Today the leaderships of the governments of South America are engaged in negotiations at the city of Guayana. (Venezualan guayana not French Guayana which is technically European Guayana and as such is on the Irish Euro's your state can afford to convert in dollars in "dublin docklands" or help invest in Irish pubs in Nigeria but can't spend on school dinners)

Venezuala, Brazil, Colombia and Spain have jointly defended -

multilateralism and the ongoing and vital need for a pluri-polar global co-existence based on the communality of cilivised values and the local needs of the weakest and poorest.

the imperative to provide proper structures and assistance to the hundreds of millions of south americans who subsist without the most basic of neccesities and live in the direst poverty.

They have co-signed "like put their names to" a document which identifies "one of the major causes of destabilisation is the denial of elemental human rights such as -
health - nutrition - education - housing.

Other accords have followed, not least the sale of boats and arms by the Spanish state to Venezuala which have been sold to secure coastal and frontier areas and are not to be used in any aggressive or beligerent sense at all @ all 'cept if it's defensive that would be like ok. This completes the modernisation of the Venezualan defence forces arsenal which also has procured substantial assistance from Brazil.

Both moves have met with sharp criticism from the USA and their allies in Europe the Spanish rightwing who alledge there is a development of a "new axis of evil" between Cuba and Venezuala.
Cuba is currently suffering sharp criticism from the Spanish left, and has recieved 3billion Eu assistance from China who the Spanish left criticise together with the Spanish right and the Kryzygystanis 20 of whom officially live in the Spanish state.

http://deportes.eluniversal.com/2005/03/30/pol_ava_30A546337.shtml
http://www.lavanguardia.es/web/20050329/51180413726.html

cooperacion.jpg

author by blessed are the cheesemakers - for they doth sit on the toast.publication date Fri Apr 01, 2005 12:34author address author phone Report this post to the editors

peaceful planes, with big guns and tippy toppy range missiles on board. Look at the photo immediately above. The smiling man between Venezuala and Colombia has just sold them both the hardware and software they need to... "say cheese!"

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