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Anti-Empire

offsite link Sanctioned by PayPal Thu Aug 04, 2022 21:31 | Anti-Empire

offsite link Spain Limits Heating to 19ºC, Cooling t... Tue Aug 02, 2022 11:39 | Associated Press

offsite link WHO Declares Monkeypox a “Global Healt... Sat Jul 23, 2022 21:01 | Apoorva Mandavilli

offsite link Zelensky Says Ukrainian KIA Down From Pe... Sat Jul 23, 2022 18:13 | Anti-Empire

offsite link German Health Ministry: 1 Severe Adverse... Sat Jul 23, 2022 11:25 | Matthew Roscoe

Anti-Empire >>

The Saker
A bird's eye view of the vineyard

offsite link Sabotage, terrorist and other diversionary attacks are a real risk for Russia (+addendum) Thu Aug 18, 2022 19:35 | The Saker
Interesting news two days in a row.  First, the Russian MoD did conclude that the explosions at the Russian airfield in Crimea where the result of a diversionary operation (I

offsite link Welcoming speech of the Russian Minister of Defence at the opening of 10th Moscow Conference on Inte... Wed Aug 17, 2022 21:33 | The Saker
The opening of the 10th Moscow Conference on International Security took place at Avangard Centre for Military and Patriotic Education of Youth within the framework of ARMY 2022 IMTF. The

offsite link Who sanctioned Russia according to the Chinese MFA Wed Aug 17, 2022 21:26 | The Saker

offsite link A Eurasian jigsaw: BRI and INSTC interconnectivity will complete the puzzle Wed Aug 17, 2022 18:45 | The Saker
by Pepe Escobar, posted with the author?s permission and widely cross-posted SAMARKAND ? Interconnecting Inner Eurasia is an exercise in Taoist equilibrium: adding piece by piece, patiently, to a gigantic

offsite link Putin?s Address to participants and guests of the 10th Moscow Conference on International Security Wed Aug 17, 2022 02:40 | The Saker
source: http://en.kremlin.ru/events... President of Russia Vladimir Putin: Ladies and gentlemen, Esteemed foreign guests, Let me welcome you to the anniversary 10th Moscow Conference on International Security. Over the past decade, your representative forum has become a significant

The Saker >>

Lockdown Skeptics

The Daily Sceptic

offsite link News Round-Up Fri Aug 19, 2022 00:39 | Jonathan Barr
A summary of all the most interesting stories that have appeared about politicians? efforts to control the virus ? and other acts of hubris and folly ? not just in Britain, but around the world.
The post News Round-Up appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

offsite link A-Level Students Miss Out on University Places as a Result of Lockdown Thu Aug 18, 2022 16:30 | Toby Young
Why are such a large number of A-level students unable to get into university this year? They're paying the price for the lockdown policy.
The post A-Level Students Miss Out on University Places as a Result of Lockdown appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

offsite link 1,200 Scientists and Professionals Declare: ?There is No Climate Emergency? Thu Aug 18, 2022 15:14 | Chris Morrison
First we had the Great Barrington Declaration, challenging the 'settled' scientific consensus about lockdowns. Now comes the World Climate Declaration, challenging the computer models predicting environmental catastrophe.
The post 1,200 Scientists and Professionals Declare: ?There is No Climate Emergency? appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

offsite link ?Net Zero? Groupthink Got Us Into This Mess Thu Aug 18, 2022 11:00 | Jonathan Barr
Political parties raced to make Britain a "climate leader". But they failed to plan for the bumps in the road and we're all paying the price.
The post ‘Net Zero? Groupthink Got Us Into This Mess appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

offsite link The Hidden Harms of the Online Safety Bill Thu Aug 18, 2022 10:28 | Jonathan Barr
Jonathan Sumption has written a splendid piece for the Spectator, explaining exactly what's wrong with the Online Safety Bill and its creation of a new category of speech which is ?legal but harmful?.
The post The Hidden Harms of the Online Safety Bill appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

Lockdown Skeptics >>

Voltaire Network
Voltaire, international edition

offsite link US License in Syria Violates Syrian Sovereignty, by Bassam Sabbagh Thu Aug 18, 2022 13:10 | en

offsite link Mali calls for Security Council meeting on French double game Thu Aug 18, 2022 09:27 | en

offsite link Compensation for 9/11 victims or bread for the Afghans? Wed Aug 17, 2022 16:07 | en

offsite link Khanists support expulsion of Israeli pro-Arabs and Arabs Wed Aug 17, 2022 14:14 | en

offsite link The Western strategy to dismantle the Russian Federation, by Thierry Meyssan Wed Aug 17, 2022 06:16 | en

Voltaire Network >>

History offers a surprising warning about January 6 hearing drama

category international | politics / elections | opinion/analysis author Friday June 10, 2022 00:17author by Julian Report this post to the editors

The January 6 House select committee begins its public hearings this Thursday night. Members of the committee have promised to reveal stunning new evidence to the American public, with committee member Democratic Rep. Jamie Raskin of Maryland vowing they "will really blow the roof off the House."

While the hearings might shock a nation that has become numb to Trumpian chaos, they are unlikely to change the basic political dynamics that have thus far protected many Trump officials and supporters from being held accountable for what happened that day.
Indeed, polls show most Republican voters believe the 2020 election was stolen from former President Donald Trump. And excluding the primary results in Georgia, many Republicans who stood firm against the former president's efforts to undermine the 2020 election have been losing in recent elections or choosing to retire all together.
History shows that investigations that produce dramatic evidence of wrongdoing don't always damage the responsible party politically. It appears Trump and his Republican surrogates have benefited from a conservative playbook created during a different presidential scandal -- the Iran-Contra affair -- and the subsequent hearings around it.
The Iran-Contra affair, which broke just before the 1986 midterm elections, posed an enormous threat to then-President Ronald Reagan and his party. The sordid scandal revolved around a complex set of secret deals that were aimed at allowing the Reagan administration to pursue its foreign policy objectives in combatting communism.
Then-Lt. Col. Oliver North at the National Security Council admitted that he taken funds from weapons the administration had sold to Iran -- considered a top terrorist state -- and diverted them to the anti-communist Nicaraguan Contras, despite explicit legislative prohibitions on doing so.
Government investigations soon unfolded on several fronts. First, Reagan appointed a commission, led by conservative former Sen. John Tower of Texas, to investigate what had happened. The Tower Commission produced a report in 1987 that criticized NSC staff for diverting funds to the Contras, while depicting Reagan as someone whose lack of sufficient oversight had enabled this diversion. However, the report stopped far short of accusing Reagan of abuse of power.
Congress then set up House and Senate committees in early January 1987. The committees held joint hearings between early May and August. Tens of millions of Americans tuned in to watch members of the committees interview high-level witnesses, including North.
The committees' majority report, signed by all the Democrats and three Republicans, did not produce specific evidence that Reagan knew about the illegal operation -- there was no "smoking gun" -- but it did show damning evidence that the NSC had used private entities and third party countries to work on the scheme. Simply put, the administration provided funding that Congress had prohibited.
The Republican Party's strategy for fighting the scandal proved to be highly effective. A pillar of their response on Capitol Hill was to largely accept the findings of the congressional investigation but insist that there was nothing wrong with what the administration had done. Key Republicans even went so far as to claim there was justification for the administration taking such extraordinary action.
Then-Wyoming Republican Rep. Dick Cheney, who served on the House select committee investigating the scandal, drafted the minority report which gave a blistering defense of executive power. Calling the majority report that strongly condemned the administration "hysterical," Cheney's missive stated the history "leaves little, if any, doubt that the President was expected to have the primary role of conducting the foreign policy of the United States. Congressional actions to limit the President in the area therefore should be reviewed with a considerable degree of skepticism."
Some Republicans also valorized North, who became a temporary hero during what became known as "Ollie Mania." They said North should be exonerated for his role in facilitating aid to the Contras, and they referred to the investigation of independent prosecutor Lawrence Walsh, who led a third investigation after the Tower investigation and congressional hearings, as leading a multi-million dollar "witch hunt."
Finally, Republicans sensed that if a party could hold onto power long enough, public attention would move on. As Democrats at the time resisted impeachment, fearing that the consequences would be worse than the crime, Reagan benefited from the success of his negotiations with the Soviet Union over the intermediate-range nuclear forces. His approval ratings climbed to 63% in December 1988 -- up from the 47%, to which they had fallen in the worst months of the scandal.
Despite multiple investigations and blockbuster hearings, in the end, Reagan's presidency survived. And though Republicans lost control of the Senate in 1986, they largely survived the worst of it, too.
Vice President George H.W. Bush, implicated in the scandal though he denied involvement, won the presidential election in 1988. https://old-hag-syndrome.blogspot.com/2021/10/how-to-defeat-old-hag-syndrome.html And on December 24, 1992, Bush pardoned six people, including former Secretary of Defense Caspar Weinberger, for their role in the affair. Two years later, though they had lost the White House by then, Republicans took control of both chambers of Congress for the first time since 1954.
Today's Republicans are following a similar methodology -- even if, with the exception of two Republicans: Reps. Liz Cheney of Wyoming (Dick Cheney's daughter) and Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, they are not participating in the congressional investigation.
Though they have not issued a Dick Cheney-style report, many have sought to defend Trump and his surrogates' unjustifiable behavior in the weeks leading up to January 6 -- and 2020 election denialism is still playing a big role in the 2022 midterms. In addition, rather than acknowledging Trump was in the wrong for promoting the "big lie" and encouraging his supporters to "fight like hell," a majority of the Republican Party voted against his second impeachment and conviction following January 6.
Republicans are also banking, like they did in 1987, that public anger over the Capitol attack will dissipate. And there's already evidence that's happening. Indeed, a new NBC News poll found fewer Americans hold Trump to be responsible than they did a year ago. And with growing inflation, baby formula shortages and midterm elections just around the corner, rage about January 6 seems to have faded as a top political concern. Fox News, a conservative leaning-network, isn't even airing the first hearings in primetime (though they are airing them on Fox Business.
Iran-Contra demonstrated it was possible to survive an epic presidential scandal if a party handled the crisis in the right way. The modern GOP has made the playbook even more effective.
Trump conducted most of the campaign against the election in broad daylight, which helped give it a sense of legitimacy in the eyes of his supporters. Couple that with intense polarization, and it is almost impossible to move voters away from their party regardless of what elected officials do.
The abuser of power can also count on an extensive media and social media ecosystem, which did not exist in the 1980s, to amplify falsehoods and disinformation that undercuts the political risks incurred. Besides the free flow of partisan information, there are so many choices for media consumers that they could easily ignore the hearings altogether -- instead opting to stream a film on Netflix or download a favorite podcast.
With all the talk about the 50th anniversary of Watergate, the Iran-Contra scandal and its failure to achieve accountability is a better roadmap to understanding the politics of the forthcoming January 6 hearing.

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